royal mail share price forecast

Another news cycle item that has made Royal Mail outlook look negative is the increasing in competition in the mail and package delivery sector. Since the pandemic began, many well-funded startups have emerged in the UK that promise much faster deliveries. This has resulted in some of these companies taking a huge chunk of what was traditionally a Royal Mail service market. Although the competition has not resulted in a drop in the number of deliveries made by Royal Mail, the company’s market share has been eaten by these new startups. According to Thompson, the company paid considerable attention to streamline its operations and enhance services in the UK. An important predictor of whether a stock price will go up is its track record of momentum.

royal mail share price forecast

The company handled a total of 439 million parcels during the quarter, with domestic parcel revenue growing by 43.9% compared to the pre-pandemic period of Q to Q3 2020, while declining 4.9% from the same period last year. The British firm said trading conditions had become progressively more challenging in October and November because of “macroeconomic uncertainty” and the run of industrial action by postal workers. We do not have data on when International Distributions Services is to next pay dividends.

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Today, the Royal Mail remains one of the most popular parcel delivery companies for UK customers. The company consists of two principal operations, its UK-based Royal Mail and Parcelforce Worldwide (Royal Mail) and its international logistics operation General Logistics Systems (GLS). At its core, the company offers mail and parcel delivery services mainly for UK citizens.

Analysts at Liberum have a ‘sell’ rating on the stock, with a 205p target price — this would represent a 26.1% drop from the stock’s current close on 18 July. On 5 July, staff with union Unite announced intentions to strike over a plan to cut 700 jobs and reduce pay by up to £7,000. The industrial action will see 2,400 managers work to rule (where staff perform the minimum according to their contract). The company already cut 1,200 jobs last year and Unite says removing further positions will make the six-day postal service the company runs, as stipulated by regulator Ofcom’s guidelines, difficult to maintain. At the time of writing on 21 April, algorithm-based forecaster Wallet Investor in the RMG share price forecast predicted the price could rise, hitting 739.4p by December 2025. However, keep in mind that analyst forecasts may be incorrect and due diligence must be conducted before making any investment in the Royal Mail shares.

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It serves consumers, sole-traders, small and medium-sized enterprises, large businesses, retailers, and access operators. International Distributions Services Plc engages in the provision of postal and delivery services. The Royal Mail segment collects, sorts and delivers letters and parcels across the UK. The GLS segment operates in continental Europe and the Republic of Ireland and has a ground-based deferred parcel delivery network in Europe. The company was founded in 1516 and is headquartered in London, the United Kingdom.

The company will have more competition than it has now, and with the advent of online retailers adopting their own mailing service, the company’s market will have reduced. Royal Mail plc, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a universal postal service provider. The company offers parcels and letter delivery services under the Royal Mail and Parcelforce Worldwide brands. It also provides services for the collection, sorting, and delivery of parcels and letters. In addition, the company operates ground-based parcel delivery networks in Europe that covers 40 countries and nation states. Additionally, the company engages in property holdings activities; and provision of facilities management services.

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The stock began to move upward towards the end of March 2020, hitting a high 591p on 30 May 2021. Since then, the stock price plummeted to 354.7p at the time of writing on 21 April. Following a difficult few months, the outlook for Royal Mail’s share price from investment experts appears mixed to negative.

The Universal Service Obligation on six-day mail delivery (being flouted in practice) will be ditched. In reply to a question from JP Morgan about the UK carrier’s long-term profitability, Williams said, the “USO is not sustainable in its current form” and that “the union recognise that in the agreement. They want to work with us in putting forward what changes need to happen to the USO”. IDS Chief Financial Officer Mick Jeavons said the agreement “contemplates us working together” on a broader “modernisation” of the USO, including the “tracking on parcel services that consumers buy in the post office”.

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My analysis is based on a number of factors including the past price action volatility that has proved that the share prices have the potential to become very bullish. This has included recent bullish rallies such as the October 13, 2021 rally that saw the Royal Mail share price rise by 30 percent in less than two months. I also expect the share prices to trade within the blue area as shown in the chart below between now and the end of the year. Therefore, my expected return on investment based on today’s prices is 63 percent.

Households pull record £4.6bn in savings amid inflation squeeze – The Telegraph

Households pull record £4.6bn in savings amid inflation squeeze.

Posted: Thu, 29 Jun 2023 17:36:41 GMT [source]

In total, institutional shareholders own 55.7 percent of IDS (526,607,832 shares), while private equity/venture capital investors own 25.3 percent (239,279,363 shares). By contrast, the general public holds just 9 percent of shares and the Employees Share Scheme accounts for 10 percent—neither group has a controlling interest or say in the company’s direction. The Royal Mail Plc Share Incentive Plan holds 5.97 percent of shares worth £111.3 million—ensuring that managers have a direct stake in ramping up the exploitation of Royal Mail’s workforce. Kretinsky’s business interests include coal, oil, gas, media, retail, and sports, with a large stake in West Ham Football Club. 67% of all retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. RADNOR, Pa., May 14, (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) — The law firm of Kessler Topaz Meltzer & Check, LLP announces that a securities fraud class action lawsuit has been filed in the United States District Court…

The number ranges from 0 to 100, with higher numbers indicating a higher level of accumulation to its peers, and 50 being the average. If Royal Mail’s stock trades in the range of $5.00 to $12.00 this next year, its recent $6.80 share price might rise by $1.20 to reach $8.00 by next year. My $1.20 upside estimate is $0.14 over the average one-year price increase for the past two years.

You can use Stockopedia’s share research software to help you find the the kinds of shares that suit your investment strategy and objectives. The International Distributions Services dividend yield is 6.02% based on the trailing twelve month period. Adding the $0.63 estimated Royal Mail annual dividend to my estimated one-year price upside estimate of $1.20 shows a $1.83 potential gross gain, per share, to be reduced by any costs to trade ROYMY shares.